After a raw, blustery day in which light snow fell and quickened the hearts of all the snowbirds, temperatures bottomed out in the mid-teens by this morning. This kind of COLD makes me drift back in time to my childhood.
Temperatures are EXPECTED to moderate some the next 2 days, before a stronger and more potent polar blast arrives in the SEARK.
Still, is the question of snowfall amounts. Weather models differ on the subject. All of them have sped the system up some. In my many years of being a weather enthusiast, I do remember that meteorologists and weather models alike have a difficult time of forecasting snow events coming out of Canada. Many times they will underestimate snow amounts. There are many components involved in the amount of snow that can or will fall in a given area with each particular system, or how much moisture can be squeezed out of certain air masses, where you would have a "dry" versus a "wet" snow, depending on moisture ratios. Canadian air masses will deliver a dry, fluffier (thicker accumulating) snow.
I remember when I was a youth, anxiously awaiting the passing of an arctic front, and the weather man predicting "just a dusting" for us. I remember Mama waking me and telling me it was snowing. We ended up with 3 inches of fluffy white stuff! That was in the 1970's when harsh winters (relatively speaking) in the South were common.
It's ironic, that the European model has predicted 3 inches as far south and east as Jackson Mississippi with this system !
I will step out on a limb and say 1 to 2 inches for parts of the SEARK. Not everyone. As a snowbird, I am hoping for more though!
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