What a “cornucopia” of weather we have seen the last few days-and will continue to see, all the way through Thanksgiving evening, when the much anticipated but highly modified arctic cold front finally clears the SEARK !
Precluding the passage of the front, will be possible severe weather. As of this writing, Wednesday is shaping up to be a day for keeping your eye to the sky, especially for those living in NE Oklahoma, Southern Missouri and NW Arkansas. Thanksgiving Day and evening prove to be more problematic, when trying to predict possible severe weather during that time period, but the SPC (Storm Prediction Center) summed it up this way: “SOME SEVERE RISK MAY CONTINUE INTO THANKSGIVING DAY PROVIDED SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE SOUTHEAST ADVANCING FRONT. WILL INTRODUCE 5 PERCENT SEVERE PROBABILITIES FOR WHAT IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO A BE MARGINAL SEVERE RISK...WITH DAMAGING WINDS/PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO BEING THE POSSIBLE IMPACTS IF A SEVERE RISK MATERIALIZES WITHIN THIS STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. "
After the frontal passage, temperatures will fall dramatically, into the mid to upper 30’s at least by Friday morning.
More roller coaster weather looks to be on tap for the SEARK on into December. Joe Bastardi, Chief long-range meteorologist at Accuweather.com, says that the Eastern part of the country is in for some wild weather the next few weeks, and as he predicted back in August, is forecasting that “the worst of our winter” will occur in December-not January or February. He correlates the harsh December weather predicted, to the active hurricane season we experienced this past summer(along with other factors).
Looking back to 2005, a year known for its prolific Hurricane season, December was indeed colder than average, especially the first part of the month.